Includes bibliographical references. Taleb, N. N. (2010). The black swan : The impact of the highly improbable (2nd ed.). New York : Random House Trade Paperbacks.

Prologue -- Part 1" Umberto Eco's Antilibrary, or How We Seek Validation -- Chapter 1: The Apprenticeship of an Empirical Skeptic -- Chapter 2: Yevgenia's Black Swan -- Chapter 3: The Speculator and the Prostitute -- Chapter 4: One Thousand and One Days, or How Not to Be a Sucker -- Chapter 5: Confirmation Shmonfirmation! -- Chapter 6: The Narrative Fallacy -- Chapter 7: Living in the Antechamber of Hope -- Chapter 8: Giacomo Casanova's Unfailing Luck: The Problem of Silent Evidence -- Chapter 9: The Ludic Fallacy, or The Uncertainty of the Nerd -- Part 2: We Just Cant' Predict -- Chapter 10: The Scandal of Prediction -- Chapter 11: How to Look for Bird Poop -- Chapter 12: Epistemocracy, a Dream -- Chapter 13: Appelles the Painter, or What Do You Do If You Cannot Predict? -- Part 3: Those Gray Swans of Extremistan -- Chapter 14: From Mediocristan to Extremistan, and Back -- Chapter 15: The Bell Curve, That Great Intellectual Fraud -- Chapter 16: The Aesthetic of Randomness -- Chapter 17: Locke's Madmen, or Bell Curves in the Wrong Places -- Chapter 18: The Uncertainty of the Phony -- Part 4: The End -- Chapter 19: Half and Half, or How to Get Even with the Black Swan -- Epilogue: Yevgenia's White Swans -- Postscript Essay: On Robustness and Fragility, Deeper Philosophical and Empirical Reflections -- Learning from Mother Nature, the Oldest and the Wisest -- Why I Do All This Walking, or How Systems Become Fragile -- Margaritas Ante Porcos -- Asperger and the Ontological Black Swan -- {Perhaps) the Most Useful Problem in the History of Modern Philosophy -- The Fourth Quadrant, The Solution to that Most Useful of Problems -- What to Do with the Fourth Quadrant -- The Ten Principles for a Black-Swan-Robust Society -- Amor Fati: How to Become Indestructible